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MARKET SIGNAL REPORT
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TUE OCT 13 RECAP · OFFICIAL CLOSE · SPY −0.01% QQQ −0.33% DIA −0.33% IWM −0.43%

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KEY TAKES

Banks sold the prints that failed the forward test. Citi closed −5.60% after an EPS beat and a raised NII outlook. WFC finished −3.10%. JPM faded from green midday to −0.86%.
After the bell, BAC took more than $1.21B in AML and sanctions penalties and a $1.2B Q3 charge, ahead of Wednesday's 8:30 AM ET CPI.
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THE CLOSE

Tuesday closed on the guidance test. Citi still finished −5.60% after the beat, worse than −3.62% at midday. SPY 778.01 (−0.01%), QQQ 743.57 (−0.33%), DIA 516.21 (−0.33%), IWM 276.70 (−0.43%). Banks sold, semis stayed soft (MU −3.62%, SMH −0.49%), energy kept the bid (XLE +1.80%, USO +1.36%), and META finished green at +2.63%. Did the 3 PM read hold? It held. Citi never recovered to green, so the Wrong if did not fire.

AFTER THE BELL

BAC closed 53.96 (−1.14%). Treasury penalties exceed $1.21B for AML and sanctions violations, with a $1.2B non-tax-deductible Q3 charge. After hours, shares traded near $52.70.

TOMORROW'S SETUP

~6:45 AM ET. BAC Q3 results, call 8:30 AM ET. First money-center print after Tuesday's guidance test, with the $1.2B AML charge.

Before the open, call 7:30 AM ET. BLK Q3 results. Flows and the fee rate into a CPI morning. BLK closed −1.64%.

~7:30 AM ET. MS Q3 results, call 9:30 AM ET. Trading and wealth print the day after GS. MS closed −1.78%.

8:30 AM ET. September CPI, core CPI, and Real Earnings, same minute as the BAC call. USO +1.36% feeds the CPI worry.

Before the open. STT is on the bank and asset-manager slate. Custody economics next to BLK and MS. STT closed −0.47%.

ONE TO WATCH TOMORROW

MS closed 186.64 (−1.78%). Wednesday Oct 14 results around 7:30 AM ET, call 9:30 AM ET. Do wealth and net new assets offset a cooler trading quarter versus Q2's record? Tell: does MS hold its pre-market reaction through the 9:30 AM ET call while CPI digests?

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Signal over noise. Evening recap of Tuesday's official close. Wednesday opens with CPI and the banks.

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